Turn decision, I think? I'm ahead

[fep]

Villian after 12 hands is 60/40 and so far seems aggresive after the flop

Cryptologic
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $2/$4
6 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with
UTG folds, UTG+1 raises, Hero 3-bets, 3 folds, UTG+1 caps, Hero calls.

Flop: (9.5SB, 2 players)
UTG+1 bets, Hero raises, UTG+1 calls.

Turn: (6.75BB, 2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero ?

[toronexti]

my usual line here when I think I'm ahead is to check turn and call river

[geormiet]

hey fep,

Don't like it. If you're ahead, which is very unlikely the best idea is to call call call. Do you want him to fold a smaller pair?

I fold the flop, even against a very agro guy.

[germany]

fep, why are sure you are ahead ?

If you act on your read accurately , then tur bet , even call when villian raise you in turn.

Normally , I starting calling down from flop to river, after villian cap preflop

[fep]

After I bet the turn and he folded I said to myself, "doh".

Acted without thinking, and like Geo said I don't want my opponent to fold anything that he would fold here. My turn bet was dumb.

I raised the flop for information and was planning on folding to a reraise. Vs. this opponent (albeit small sample) I figured he'd reraise if ahead.

I think vs a 40% VPIP the best play was to call the flop, call the turn, call the river. Against a 40% I must be ahead often enough to make this correct but if ahead I want him to make the mistake of continueing to bet.

[Bugsbunny]

On the flop it's either raise or fold, I can make arguments in either direction, and will do both at times. In this case I don't mind a raise myself, even if I show the hand down and lose it shows that you can't just run me over with scare cards. If he was tighter then this would be a fold, in most cases (but not always). And even against an aggro I'll fold some of the time, the mix is just different - I'll play back against the aggro more often than against the tighter player. I would be a bit happier if there was only 1 overcard though. Since there's 2 that normally leans me more in the direction of folding (especially with a tighter player, but even with aggro's).

On the turn he checks, that's a good thing. You should check behind. If you bet and he c/r you have to fold. You can get to showdown for the same price. You're either way ahead or way behind here. If you're way behind you may check and still catch a miracle J, which will usually be enough to save you (but not always)

[Bugsbunny]

Call, call, call is another option here, and I will do that as well. It really depends on opp on whether I prefer a 3 bet or a call down (assuming I don't fold), but in general I don't like calling down here - although I'm not sure why. Perhaps it has something to do with the fact that both an A and a K are out there.

[Fumseck]

[germany]

[Bugsbunny]

[germany]

thanks bug reminder , but to be honest, i think the player is more inclined NOT to bet `

[geormiet]

I'm still confused why we are calling the flop. 12 hands is no sample size at all, and like I said, even against a lag a flop fold is good.

[Wynton]

[Bugsbunny]

12 hands is a small sample size. 12 hands running at 60/40 I begin making some tentative conclusions (like potential maniac), especially if a hand or2 has gone to showdown showing me something flaky.

[WinAgain35]

I've seen my OWN stats in 12 hands vary from 50/40 or 35/20 to 10/5 or 0/0
12 hands usually isn't enough to know too much about a player. And I've been fooled into thinking a player is a LAG after 20 or so hands, only to find out they're TAG after 200 hands. Just my observation.