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THOP Consistancy in Math

 
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rayrns
1K Club


Joined: 21 Jun 2004
Posts: 1004

PostPosted: Sun Jun 25, 2006 6:33 am    Post subject: THOP Consistancy in Math Reply with quote

Page 186 From the chart provided:
Two suited cards hitting a flush .008 (Probability) 124 to 1 (Odds)
The math is provided at the bottom of this page.

Page 18 we are shown how to multiply fractions. The example is 11/50 x 10/49 x 10/48 with the answer being .0084
Using this math the answer is 118 to 1

From Internet Texas Holdem page 31"common odds that can be helpful or just interesting to know:"
. Floping a flush when holding two suits 118 to 1

The only reason page 186 hit me as strange as I had memorized the 118 to 1 and told my spouse that number numerous times when talking about winning flush hands in sessions I had played.

The difference comes in whether or not we convert to odds using .008 or .0084.

I didn't know if you knew about having this difference in numbers in your 2 books.

Ray
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mchilger
ITH Founder and Poker Author


Joined: 30 Jun 2003
Posts: 5795
Location: Atlanta, Georgia

PostPosted: Sun Jun 25, 2006 11:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yeah, this presented a problem for me. How many decimals do I really want to show? .008 seems more than sufficient. But if I show .008 - what odds do I show? The odds based on .008 or the actual odds? Either way I lose. If I show 124 to 1 that really isn't correct, but if I show 118 to 1 the odds don't correspond to the probability I have listed.

Don't really know the answer. Maybe on page 18 I should put it to 3 decimals and then add a footnote that the actual true odds would be 118 to 1.

Matthew
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