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| How many receptions will Randy Moss make vs Chargers? |
| 0 - 3 |
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15% |
[ 2 ] |
| 4 |
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7% |
[ 1 ] |
| more than 4 |
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76% |
[ 10 ] |
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| Total Votes : 13 |
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| Author |
Message |
Bullajami
Uber Squid
Joined: 03 Sep 2004
Posts: 8838
Location: Mrs. Bull's Doghouse
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 Posted: Thu Oct 09, 2008 6:21 pm Post subject: Randy Moss vs Chargers |
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I have a free $25 bet from a sportsbook. I have to put it on the prop bet of Randy Moss total receptions vs the Chargers
< 4 receptions +100
4 receptions +100
> 4 receptions +100
I'll take whatever the crowd here votes. |
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nukeduke
ITH BBQ Host Master
Joined: 07 Mar 2005
Posts: 3003
Location: Nashville
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| Posted: Thu Oct 09, 2008 8:15 pm Post subject: |
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| I'm on the over. |
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Stew21
Joined: 03 Oct 2006
Posts: 999
Location: Orlando, Fl
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| Posted: Thu Oct 09, 2008 9:23 pm Post subject: |
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San Diego's defense has had only two decent games this year.
Against the Jets and Raiders.
I went with the over.
GL to you. |
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Bugsbunny
Wascally
Joined: 07 Apr 2004
Posts: 7630
Location: Drinking Carrot juice
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| Posted: Thu Oct 09, 2008 10:21 pm Post subject: |
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My instinct (as opposed to my gut) tells me I'd take the under. I think the over is the obvious bet here to a majority of people (and therefore more likely to be wrong).
But I don't have a strong feeling either way. |
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nsidestrate
Suited's Love Monkey
Joined: 26 May 2004
Posts: 22457
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| Posted: Fri Oct 10, 2008 12:39 am Post subject: |
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| Chargers pass D has been fairly porous and the Pats appear to be concentrating on opening up the offense for Cassell. I think he'll grab 5 balls. |
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Bugsbunny
Wascally
Joined: 07 Apr 2004
Posts: 7630
Location: Drinking Carrot juice
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| Posted: Mon Oct 13, 2008 2:38 am Post subject: |
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| Bugsbunny wrote: | My instinct (as opposed to my gut) tells me I'd take the under. I think the over is the obvious bet here to a majority of people (and therefore more likely to be wrong).
But I don't have a strong feeling either way. |
3 receptions, 26 yards  |
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nsidestrate
Suited's Love Monkey
Joined: 26 May 2004
Posts: 22457
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| Posted: Mon Oct 13, 2008 3:37 am Post subject: |
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| Yeah, but they threw it to him 10 times. There were at least two drops. He should have caught more than three balls. |
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Bullajami
Uber Squid
Joined: 03 Sep 2004
Posts: 8838
Location: Mrs. Bull's Doghouse
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| Posted: Mon Oct 13, 2008 5:59 am Post subject: |
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| nsidestrate wrote: | | He should have caught more than three balls. |
I have submitted this argument to CS with the request that they pay me anyways. No response yet.  |
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Bugsbunny
Wascally
Joined: 07 Apr 2004
Posts: 7630
Location: Drinking Carrot juice
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| Posted: Mon Oct 13, 2008 12:03 pm Post subject: |
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| Bullajami wrote: | | nsidestrate wrote: | | He should have caught more than three balls. |
I have submitted this argument to CS with the request that they pay me anyways. No response yet. |
Whenever you take a poll like this and the results are massively skewed (as they are here) go against public opinion and you'll be a winner probably about 80% of the time. You'll certainly beat the vig with a healthy profit margin. |
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Bullajami
Uber Squid
Joined: 03 Sep 2004
Posts: 8838
Location: Mrs. Bull's Doghouse
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| Posted: Mon Oct 13, 2008 12:11 pm Post subject: |
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I am well aware of Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds. This particular group of folks tends to be a bit less knee jerk than most, so I am not sure what I would have done had it been my own money at risk. As it was, it was a free bet at a book I no longer have any cash at, and it would have probably been more hassle than $25 is worth to get it out had I won. 
I read the forums at SBR, and will frequently fade the popular consensus picks over there. It is somewhat profitable and very amusing.  |
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