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PLO: Shortstacking hand #1

 
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Willem
2K Club


Joined: 16 Sep 2006
Posts: 2646
Location: Netherlands

PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2007 6:37 am    Post subject: PLO: Shortstacking hand #1 Reply with quote

Short stacking PLO. I'm gonna do some math later.

Poker Stars
Pot Limit Omaha Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
9 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $100.90
UTG+1: $24.70
MP1: $111.50
MP2: $46.80
MP3: $20.80
CO: $104.35
Button: $172.45
Hero: $18.85
BB: $494.65

Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is SB with 8 of Clubs Queen of Hearts 6 of Clubs Queen of Spades
UTG folds, UTG+1 raises to $2, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, 2 folds, Hero raises to $14.5, BB raises to $53, UTG+1 calls all-in $22.7, MP1 calls, MP2 folds, MP3 calls all-in $18.8, Hero calls all-in $4.35.

Flop: Jack of Clubs 5 of Clubs Jack of Diamonds ($134.75, 2 players + 3 all-in - Main pot: $96.25, Sidepot 3: $56.6)
BB bets $170.85, MP1 calls all-in $58.5.
Uncalled bets: $112.35 returned to BB.

Turn: 5 of Spades ($251.75, 1 player + 4 all-in - Main pot: $96.25, Sidepot 3: $173.6)


River: 7 of Diamonds ($251.75, 1 player + 4 all-in - Main pot: $96.25, Sidepot 3: $173.6)


Results:
Final pot: $251.75

UTG+1: 5 of Hearts 3 of Spades 4 of Spades 6 of Diamonds
MP1: King of Clubs 5 of Diamonds Jack of Spades 10 of Diamonds (Won)
MP3: 7 of Clubs 6 of Hearts 6 of Spades 7 of Hearts
Hero: 8 of Clubs Queen of Hearts 6 of Clubs Queen of Spades
BB: Ace of Diamonds Ace of Spades 3 of Diamonds Jack of Hearts

I'm only in contention for the main pot worth $96.25 of which I made a $18.85 contribution. This means I need 19.6% equity here to be EV+. Obviously, BB has AAxx here but I didn't know that at the time I was making my decision. Im going to run two scenario's. First, I'm going to see if my going all-in preflop was EV+, with BB having AAxx. Second, I'm going to take BB out of the equation and how that improves my situation.

Scenario 1:
Pot size: $96.25
Required equity: 19.6%
Actual equity: 24.2% (link)
Overlay: 4.6%
Total EV: 0.046 * $96.25 = $4.43

Scenario 2:
Pot size: $78.40
Required equity: 24.0%
Actual equity: 28.5% (link}
Overlay: 4.5%
Total EV: 0.045 * $78.40 = $3.53
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chillrob
1K Club


Joined: 21 Dec 2005
Posts: 1117

PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2007 9:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

So it looks like your money went in good, even vs the AA hand, but could you realistically expect that many callers preflop? I don't play PLO at all, but I would think shortstacking it you would need to wait for a bigger hand than that to push.

I am curious about what your starting hand standards are like, and how your results are. I often short stack NL Holdem tables using Ed Miller's beginners NL strategy, but online tables are so tight that wins are extremely marginal. I would be curious to know how well it works in PLO.

Rob
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Willem
2K Club


Joined: 16 Sep 2006
Posts: 2646
Location: Netherlands

PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2007 11:20 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm using the short-stacked strategy from Rolf Slotboom's PLO book. The idea is getting lots of dead money in the pot (the cold callers here) and then try to put all the money in, usually by limp-raising preflop, or check-raising after the flop. Hence my 20BB stack. I'm just starting out so I don't have any meaningful results.

I'm not sure my hand was actually strong enough here. 8 of Clubs Queen of Hearts 6 of Clubs Queen of Spades is essentially 2 separate hands: Queen of Hearts Queen of Spades and 8 of Clubs 6 of Clubs. The other combinations don't make much sense and will only make a winning hand by accident. Even a hand like Queen of Hearts 8 of Hearts Queen of Spades 6 of Spades would be much better since I now have two decent flush draws.

Here, after UTG+1 has raised (AAxx likely) and three players have called, I hope by raising, that everyone but one player folds and I can get the hand heads-up with a decent amount of dead money in the pot, compensating for any equity deficiency I might have. I'm going to look at several starting hands and see which one are good enough. I'm going to assume BB folds here and UTG+1 re-raises and everyone else folds. This will create a pot of $45.20 of which I contribute 41.7%. I'm also going to assume UTG+1 has the very same hand BB had: Ace of Diamonds Ace of Spades 3 of Diamonds Jack of Hearts. I will be EV+ if my hand has over 41.7% equity.

8 of Clubs Queen of Hearts 6 of Clubs Queen of Spades has 36.2%
8 of Hearts Queen of Hearts 6 of Spades Queen of Spades has 39.8%
10 of Clubs 10 of Spades 9 of Spades 7 of Clubs has 42.8%
10 of Clubs 9 of Hearts 8 of Hearts 7 of Clubs has 46.8%

Of course, if villain is messing around with some kind of rundown hand, my QQxx will actually be a favorite.
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