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Willem 2K Club
Joined: 16 Sep 2006 Posts: 2646 Location: Netherlands
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Posted: Mon Sep 15, 2008 2:44 pm Post subject: Playing AQ unimproved in a big pot |
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Full Tilt Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $5/$10
6 players
Converter
Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with
UTG raises, UTG+1 calls, Hero 3-bets, Button caps, 2 folds, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, Hero calls.
Flop: (17.5SB, 4 players)
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero checks, Button checks.
Turn: (8.75BB, 4 players)
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero ??? |
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Cript Cheesehead
Joined: 13 Feb 2004 Posts: 5067 Location: Milwaukee, WI
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Posted: Mon Sep 15, 2008 3:01 pm Post subject: |
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| I think Hero has to check-fold here. Button capping and checking that flop wreaks of KK. If he's a bit different, maybe AK. |
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Willem 2K Club
Joined: 16 Sep 2006 Posts: 2646 Location: Netherlands
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Posted: Mon Sep 15, 2008 3:05 pm Post subject: |
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| These games are quite aggressive, his cap doesn't necessarily mean he has QQ+ or AK. |
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Skrotnisse
Joined: 27 Oct 2007 Posts: 530 Location: Sweden
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Posted: Mon Sep 15, 2008 3:28 pm Post subject: |
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| Yeah, I think you could probably bet this, for value and protection. Seems like you have the nuts! (by judging from their actions) If button wakes up though, he´s been slowplaying. |
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mconstab
Joined: 13 Dec 2005 Posts: 363 Location: Warwickshire, UK
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Posted: Mon Sep 15, 2008 3:35 pm Post subject: |
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Was BTN a decent player? Any kind of decent player is never checking a K on this flop with the size of the pot. Maybe he got scared with JJ, TT type of hands although I'd still expect him to bet the flop.
If the pot was 3 handed I might just bet out here as the pot is big, your likely to get an honest reaction from BTN also (assuming he's somewhat competent). This still might be worth a shot with 4 players as there's no draws and I'd expect your opponents to play fit or fold to your bet. I guess the danger is that you'll be called down by someone holding a pocket pair.
The weak ass I am I'd probably check fold but it's going to be so dependent on the stats of my opponents. But then if BTN bet the turn and the other two opponents folded that would present a new dilemma HU. Odd situation though. |
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Willem 2K Club
Joined: 16 Sep 2006 Posts: 2646 Location: Netherlands
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Posted: Tue Sep 16, 2008 6:03 am Post subject: |
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| Skrotnisse wrote: | | Yeah, I think you could probably bet this, for value and protection. Seems like you have the nuts! (by judging from their actions) If button wakes up though, he´s been slowplaying. |
My thoughts exactly, except for the slowplaying part. Here is what happened next:
Full Tilt Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $5/$10
6 players
Converter
Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with
UTG raises, UTG+1 calls, Hero 3-bets, Button caps, 2 folds, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, Hero calls.
Flop: (17.5SB, 4 players)
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero checks, Button checks.
Turn: (8.75BB, 4 players)
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets, Button raises, 2 folds, Hero ??? |
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the_hawk Chelsea FTW!
Joined: 13 Jul 2005 Posts: 4305
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Posted: Tue Sep 16, 2008 6:27 am Post subject: |
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This whole example is horribly difficult.
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Cript Cheesehead
Joined: 13 Feb 2004 Posts: 5067 Location: Milwaukee, WI
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Posted: Tue Sep 16, 2008 9:19 am Post subject: |
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Can't understand how you can't fold now...maybe why I'm not at 5/10 yet.
His flop check is way to weird to me. You said it yourself, his preflop cap doesn't necessarily mean a huge hand. I have to assume; however; that his flop check does. If this is an aggressive game, I don't get how he wouldn't hit that turn hard. |
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janeg Regina Canada
Joined: 04 Oct 2004 Posts: 5103 Location: Somewhere down the crazy river
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Posted: Tue Sep 16, 2008 9:52 am Post subject: |
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It's hard to reconcile his actions (PF cap, Flop check, T raise) with anything other than KK, AA, maybe 77 or 44 (although that's a stretch). The board had no draws so a strong hand wouldn't need any protection. However, if he's aggro, he may be weak, figures you don't have a King and has decided to see if he could take down the pot.
Tough spot; really depends on your read. |
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Cript Cheesehead
Joined: 13 Feb 2004 Posts: 5067 Location: Milwaukee, WI
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Posted: Tue Sep 16, 2008 9:53 am Post subject: |
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| janeg wrote: | It's hard to reconcile his actions (PF cap, Flop check, T raise) with anything other than KK, AA, maybe 77 or 44 (although that's a stretch). The board had no draws so a strong hand wouldn't need any protection. However, if he's aggro, he may be weak, figures you don't have a King and has decided to see if he could take down the pot.
Tough spot; really depends on your read. |
I think there's way too much in the pot for him to think he could get Hero off a hand...agree with the first assumption though. Let's not forget we aren't HU right now either. |
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janeg Regina Canada
Joined: 04 Oct 2004 Posts: 5103 Location: Somewhere down the crazy river
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Posted: Tue Sep 16, 2008 10:45 am Post subject: |
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| Cript wrote: | | janeg wrote: | It's hard to reconcile his actions (PF cap, Flop check, T raise) with anything other than KK, AA, maybe 77 or 44 (although that's a stretch). The board had no draws so a strong hand wouldn't need any protection. However, if he's aggro, he may be weak, figures you don't have a King and has decided to see if he could take down the pot.
Tough spot; really depends on your read. |
I think there's way too much in the pot for him to think he could get Hero off a hand...agree with the first assumption though. Let's not forget we aren't HU right now either. |
That's actually why I think a steal is a possibility. If you had a set here, with no real draws on the board, would you raise and risk knocking out the 2 behind that had checked? I'd call and hope they come along to the river. |
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Skrotnisse
Joined: 27 Oct 2007 Posts: 530 Location: Sweden
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Posted: Tue Sep 16, 2008 2:30 pm Post subject: |
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| Willem wrote: | | Skrotnisse wrote: | | Yeah, I think you could probably bet this, for value and protection. Seems like you have the nuts! (by judging from their actions) If button wakes up though, he´s been slowplaying. |
My thoughts exactly, except for the slowplaying part. Here is what happened next:
Full Tilt Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $5/$10
6 players
Converter
Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with
UTG raises, UTG+1 calls, Hero 3-bets, Button caps, 2 folds, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, Hero calls.
Flop: (17.5SB, 4 players)
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero checks, Button checks.
Turn: (8.75BB, 4 players)
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets, Button raises, 2 folds, Hero ??? |
Fold. Once in a blue moon you will be good here and sometimes you will have kings here and call down and find he was raising QQ or whatever. But you have Ace high this time. Fold. |
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Willem 2K Club
Joined: 16 Sep 2006 Posts: 2646 Location: Netherlands
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Posted: Tue Sep 16, 2008 11:52 pm Post subject: |
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My initial instinct here was that his raise was just BS. People don't slowplay KK or AK like this on the flop. But in any case, villain is out of line. He either slowplayed on the flop, which is unlikely. Or he now tries to pick up the already big pot.
I am getting almost 1:12 immediate odds to call the turn raise, and 1:6.5 odds to call down. With 1:6.5, I have to be good only 13.3% of the time. I might even some outs against a hand like 99. Folding actually didn't even cross my mind, so I called down:
Full Tilt Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $5/$10
6 players
Converter
Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with
UTG raises, UTG+1 calls, Hero 3-bets, Button caps, 2 folds, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, Hero calls.
Flop: (17.5SB, 4 players)
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero checks, Button checks.
Turn: (8.75BB, 4 players)
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets, Button raises, 2 folds, Hero calls.
River: (12.75BB, 2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks.
Results:
Final pot: 12.75BB
Button shows QTo |
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janeg Regina Canada
Joined: 04 Oct 2004 Posts: 5103 Location: Somewhere down the crazy river
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Posted: Wed Sep 17, 2008 12:22 am Post subject: |
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Nice call Willem His line really did look odd. |
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