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Playing AQ unimproved in a big pot

 
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Willem
2K Club


Joined: 16 Sep 2006
Posts: 2646
Location: Netherlands

PostPosted: Mon Sep 15, 2008 2:44 pm    Post subject: Playing AQ unimproved in a big pot Reply with quote

Full Tilt Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $5/$10
6 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with Queen of Hearts Ace of Clubs
UTG raises, UTG+1 calls, Hero 3-bets, Button caps, 2 folds, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, Hero calls.

Flop: 7 of Hearts 4 of Spades King of Clubs (17.5SB, 4 players)
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero checks, Button checks.

Turn: 7 of Diamonds (8.75BB, 4 players)
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero ???
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Cript
Cheesehead


Joined: 13 Feb 2004
Posts: 5067
Location: Milwaukee, WI

PostPosted: Mon Sep 15, 2008 3:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think Hero has to check-fold here. Button capping and checking that flop wreaks of KK. If he's a bit different, maybe AK.
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Willem
2K Club


Joined: 16 Sep 2006
Posts: 2646
Location: Netherlands

PostPosted: Mon Sep 15, 2008 3:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

These games are quite aggressive, his cap doesn't necessarily mean he has QQ+ or AK.
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Skrotnisse



Joined: 27 Oct 2007
Posts: 530
Location: Sweden

PostPosted: Mon Sep 15, 2008 3:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yeah, I think you could probably bet this, for value and protection. Seems like you have the nuts! (by judging from their actions) If button wakes up though, he´s been slowplaying.
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mconstab



Joined: 13 Dec 2005
Posts: 363
Location: Warwickshire, UK

PostPosted: Mon Sep 15, 2008 3:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Was BTN a decent player? Any kind of decent player is never checking a K on this flop with the size of the pot. Maybe he got scared with JJ, TT type of hands although I'd still expect him to bet the flop.

If the pot was 3 handed I might just bet out here as the pot is big, your likely to get an honest reaction from BTN also (assuming he's somewhat competent). This still might be worth a shot with 4 players as there's no draws and I'd expect your opponents to play fit or fold to your bet. I guess the danger is that you'll be called down by someone holding a pocket pair.

The weak ass I am I'd probably check fold but it's going to be so dependent on the stats of my opponents. But then if BTN bet the turn and the other two opponents folded that would present a new dilemma HU. Odd situation though.
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Willem
2K Club


Joined: 16 Sep 2006
Posts: 2646
Location: Netherlands

PostPosted: Tue Sep 16, 2008 6:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Skrotnisse wrote:
Yeah, I think you could probably bet this, for value and protection. Seems like you have the nuts! (by judging from their actions) If button wakes up though, he´s been slowplaying.


My thoughts exactly, except for the slowplaying part. Here is what happened next:

Full Tilt Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $5/$10
6 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with Queen of Hearts Ace of Clubs
UTG raises, UTG+1 calls, Hero 3-bets, Button caps, 2 folds, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, Hero calls.

Flop: 7 of Hearts 4 of Spades King of Clubs (17.5SB, 4 players)
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero checks, Button checks.

Turn: 7 of Diamonds (8.75BB, 4 players)
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets, Button raises, 2 folds, Hero ???
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the_hawk
Chelsea FTW!


Joined: 13 Jul 2005
Posts: 4305

PostPosted: Tue Sep 16, 2008 6:27 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

This whole example is horribly difficult.

Confused
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Cript
Cheesehead


Joined: 13 Feb 2004
Posts: 5067
Location: Milwaukee, WI

PostPosted: Tue Sep 16, 2008 9:19 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Can't understand how you can't fold now...maybe why I'm not at 5/10 yet.

His flop check is way to weird to me. You said it yourself, his preflop cap doesn't necessarily mean a huge hand. I have to assume; however; that his flop check does. If this is an aggressive game, I don't get how he wouldn't hit that turn hard.
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janeg
Regina Canada


Joined: 04 Oct 2004
Posts: 5103
Location: Somewhere down the crazy river

PostPosted: Tue Sep 16, 2008 9:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's hard to reconcile his actions (PF cap, Flop check, T raise) with anything other than KK, AA, maybe 77 or 44 (although that's a stretch). The board had no draws so a strong hand wouldn't need any protection. However, if he's aggro, he may be weak, figures you don't have a King and has decided to see if he could take down the pot.

Tough spot; really depends on your read.
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Cript
Cheesehead


Joined: 13 Feb 2004
Posts: 5067
Location: Milwaukee, WI

PostPosted: Tue Sep 16, 2008 9:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

janeg wrote:
It's hard to reconcile his actions (PF cap, Flop check, T raise) with anything other than KK, AA, maybe 77 or 44 (although that's a stretch). The board had no draws so a strong hand wouldn't need any protection. However, if he's aggro, he may be weak, figures you don't have a King and has decided to see if he could take down the pot.

Tough spot; really depends on your read.


I think there's way too much in the pot for him to think he could get Hero off a hand...agree with the first assumption though. Let's not forget we aren't HU right now either.
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janeg
Regina Canada


Joined: 04 Oct 2004
Posts: 5103
Location: Somewhere down the crazy river

PostPosted: Tue Sep 16, 2008 10:45 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Cript wrote:
janeg wrote:
It's hard to reconcile his actions (PF cap, Flop check, T raise) with anything other than KK, AA, maybe 77 or 44 (although that's a stretch). The board had no draws so a strong hand wouldn't need any protection. However, if he's aggro, he may be weak, figures you don't have a King and has decided to see if he could take down the pot.

Tough spot; really depends on your read.


I think there's way too much in the pot for him to think he could get Hero off a hand...agree with the first assumption though. Let's not forget we aren't HU right now either.


That's actually why I think a steal is a possibility. If you had a set here, with no real draws on the board, would you raise and risk knocking out the 2 behind that had checked? I'd call and hope they come along to the river.
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Skrotnisse



Joined: 27 Oct 2007
Posts: 530
Location: Sweden

PostPosted: Tue Sep 16, 2008 2:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Willem wrote:
Skrotnisse wrote:
Yeah, I think you could probably bet this, for value and protection. Seems like you have the nuts! (by judging from their actions) If button wakes up though, he´s been slowplaying.


My thoughts exactly, except for the slowplaying part. Here is what happened next:

Full Tilt Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $5/$10
6 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with Queen of Hearts Ace of Clubs
UTG raises, UTG+1 calls, Hero 3-bets, Button caps, 2 folds, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, Hero calls.

Flop: 7 of Hearts 4 of Spades King of Clubs (17.5SB, 4 players)
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero checks, Button checks.

Turn: 7 of Diamonds (8.75BB, 4 players)
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets, Button raises, 2 folds, Hero ???


Fold. Once in a blue moon you will be good here and sometimes you will have kings here and call down and find he was raising QQ or whatever. But you have Ace high this time. Fold.
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Willem
2K Club


Joined: 16 Sep 2006
Posts: 2646
Location: Netherlands

PostPosted: Tue Sep 16, 2008 11:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

My initial instinct here was that his raise was just BS. People don't slowplay KK or AK like this on the flop. But in any case, villain is out of line. He either slowplayed on the flop, which is unlikely. Or he now tries to pick up the already big pot.

I am getting almost 1:12 immediate odds to call the turn raise, and 1:6.5 odds to call down. With 1:6.5, I have to be good only 13.3% of the time. I might even some outs against a hand like 99. Folding actually didn't even cross my mind, so I called down:

Full Tilt Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $5/$10
6 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with Queen of Hearts Ace of Clubs
UTG raises, UTG+1 calls, Hero 3-bets, Button caps, 2 folds, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, Hero calls.

Flop: 7 of Hearts 4 of Spades King of Clubs (17.5SB, 4 players)
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero checks, Button checks.

Turn: 7 of Diamonds (8.75BB, 4 players)
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets, Button raises, 2 folds, Hero calls.

River: 8 of Hearts (12.75BB, 2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks.

Results:
Final pot: 12.75BB

Button shows QTo
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janeg
Regina Canada


Joined: 04 Oct 2004
Posts: 5103
Location: Somewhere down the crazy river

PostPosted: Wed Sep 17, 2008 12:22 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nice call Willem Smile His line really did look odd.
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