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mchilger ITH Founder and Poker Author
Joined: 30 Jun 2003 Posts: 5794 Location: Atlanta, Georgia
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Posted: Fri Mar 07, 2008 9:18 am Post subject: Omaha Week - Matthew vs. Clabbers |
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PokerStars Pot-Limit Omaha High, $0.50 BB (9 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: ITH Forums)
UTG+1 ($21)
MP1 ($49.50)
MP2 ($57.75)
MP3 ($44.50)
CO ($159.60)
Button ($53.40)
Hero ($46.25)
BB ($4
UTG ($31.10)
Preflop: Hero is SB with , , , .
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.50, MP1 calls $0.50, 3 folds, Button calls $0.50, Hero completes, BB checks.
Flop: ($2.50) , , (5 players)
Hero bets $2.4, BB folds, UTG+1 folds, MP1 folds, Button raises to $9.6, Hero raises to $31.2, Button calls $21.60.
Turn: ($64.90) (2 players)
Hero bets $14.55 (All-In), Button calls $14.55.
River: ($0) (2 players, 1 all-in)
Final Pot: $94
Results in white below:
Hero has Kh 2h 6h 8d (two pair, kings and sixes).
Outcome: Button wins $47. Hero wins $47. |
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mchilger ITH Founder and Poker Author
Joined: 30 Jun 2003 Posts: 5794 Location: Atlanta, Georgia
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Posted: Fri Mar 07, 2008 9:23 am Post subject: |
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Clabbers had Kc 6c As Js.
The only way I am behind on flop is if I am against a set, which is fairly unlikely given I have one of each board card. But Omaha is strange. I I am against a flush draw with a K, my opponent would have a slew of outs, assuming his cards are higher than a 6. He would have 9 to a flush and 9 to two better pair.
Just so happens, I am in terrible shape in this hand against Clabber's hand and lucked out to split. I'm pretty sure I need to bet out here. I'm thinking though that I should only call Clabber's raise and then push the turn on a non spade, non ace turn card.
But this is new game for me...comments?
Matthew |
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nsidestrate Suited's Love Monkey
Joined: 26 May 2004 Posts: 22390
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Posted: Fri Mar 07, 2008 10:21 am Post subject: |
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Interesting to me how very rare a tie would be: | Code: | pokenum -o kh 2h 6h 8d - kc 6c as js -- ks 9s 2d
Omaha Hi: 820 enumerated boards containing Ks 9s 2d
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
8d Kh 6h 2h 276 33.66 523 63.78 21 2.56 0.349
As Js Kc 6c 523 63.78 276 33.66 21 2.56 0.651 |
Even with the tremendous turn card, a split is still quite unlikely:
| Code: | pokenum -o kh 2h 6h 8d - kc 6c as js -- ks 9s 2d 3h
Omaha Hi: 40 enumerated boards containing Ks 9s 2d 3h
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
8d Kh 6h 2h 20 50.00 19 47.50 1 2.50 0.512
As Js Kc 6c 19 47.50 20 50.00 1 2.50 0.487 |
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emmapeel 2K Club
Joined: 05 Feb 2006 Posts: 2529 Location: Edinburgh
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Posted: Sat Mar 08, 2008 11:38 am Post subject: |
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I wouldn't have thought that top two was good enough to be so aggressive with here against 5 opponents. There are not many back-up outs too. It's good that the two is paired also as that gives our hand better chances.
I might check the flop and see what happens before I make a move.
Very interesting though. We are prolly only behind to 66 and 22 and there is only one combination of each. We are also behind to another top two with better draws. I'm not sure if we can be behind to a big draw hand.
I'm prolly all-in on the turn too.
EP |
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toom Spelling Bee Champ
Joined: 06 Apr 2005 Posts: 2385 Location: Running for benevolent dictator next
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Posted: Wed Mar 12, 2008 2:08 am Post subject: |
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There are two huge factors involved here.
The first is position. In the worst possible position, against five opponents, top two is tough to value bet with a flush draw out there, although there are no straight draws (unless someone limped 7543).
The second is reverse implied odds. Preflop, you pretty much have to call given the ridiculous pot odds, but the only flop I want to see includes and another heart, with maybe a gutshot or better thrown in, giving you at least twelve outs. Otherwise, in PLO, you get into the reverse implied odds situation. Even if the turn comes with a miracle king, your opponent could be freerolling you with AKJ6 limped from the button (as Clabbers had, of course). Reverse implied odds is crippling when you have position. Out of position it's so much worse.
| emma wrote: | | I'm not sure if we can be behind to a big draw hand. |
The worst I could think of was 543x with two spades. That's only a 51-49 favorite over Matthew on the flop.
| Code: | http://twodimes.net/h/?z=4394426
pokenum -o kh 6h 2h 8d - 7s 5s 4c 3h -- ks 6s 2d
Omaha Hi: 820 enumerated boards containing Ks 6s 2d
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
8d Kh 6h 2h 402 49.02 418 50.98 0 0.00 0.490
7s 5s 4c 3h 418 50.98 402 49.02 0 0.00 0.510 |
Omaha writers would have this as a check-fold on the flop, I believe. On the turn, given the action, easy shove. |
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clabbers
Joined: 28 Feb 2005 Posts: 550 Location: Former Absolute Baddest Beater
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Posted: Thu Apr 03, 2008 1:01 pm Post subject: |
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How different is the hand if Matthew and I still have 100+ left on the turn. I think a pot bet/shove by Matthew on the turn is near suicidal then.
I got my ass stomped in a 1/2 live PLO game with 5-6 players last night the few times I bet out top two on the flop.
Also pertinent - what would be the minimum hand necessary to repot the flop. I don't think that are many weaker hands I could have. Nut flush draw with no pairs should draw cheaply, not repot. |
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