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Omaha Week - Matthew vs. Clabbers

 
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mchilger
ITH Founder and Poker Author


Joined: 30 Jun 2003
Posts: 5794
Location: Atlanta, Georgia

PostPosted: Fri Mar 07, 2008 9:18 am    Post subject: Omaha Week - Matthew vs. Clabbers Reply with quote

PokerStars Pot-Limit Omaha High, $0.50 BB (9 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: ITH Forums)

UTG+1 ($21)
MP1 ($49.50)
MP2 ($57.75)
MP3 ($44.50)
CO ($159.60)
Button ($53.40)
Hero ($46.25)
BB ($4Cool
UTG ($31.10)

Preflop: Hero is SB with King of Hearts, 2 of Hearts, 6 of Hearts, 8 of Diamonds.
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.50, MP1 calls $0.50, 3 folds, Button calls $0.50, Hero completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($2.50) King of Spades, 6 of Spades, 2 of Diamonds (5 players)
Hero bets $2.4, BB folds, UTG+1 folds, MP1 folds, Button raises to $9.6, Hero raises to $31.2, Button calls $21.60.

Turn: ($64.90) 3 of Hearts (2 players)
Hero bets $14.55 (All-In), Button calls $14.55.

River: ($0) 10 of Clubs (2 players, 1 all-in)

Final Pot: $94

Results in white below:
Hero has Kh 2h 6h 8d (two pair, kings and sixes).

Outcome: Button wins $47. Hero wins $47.
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mchilger
ITH Founder and Poker Author


Joined: 30 Jun 2003
Posts: 5794
Location: Atlanta, Georgia

PostPosted: Fri Mar 07, 2008 9:23 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Clabbers had Kc 6c As Js.

The only way I am behind on flop is if I am against a set, which is fairly unlikely given I have one of each board card. But Omaha is strange. I I am against a flush draw with a K, my opponent would have a slew of outs, assuming his cards are higher than a 6. He would have 9 to a flush and 9 to two better pair.

Just so happens, I am in terrible shape in this hand against Clabber's hand and lucked out to split. I'm pretty sure I need to bet out here. I'm thinking though that I should only call Clabber's raise and then push the turn on a non spade, non ace turn card.

But this is new game for me...comments?

Matthew
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nsidestrate
Suited's Love Monkey


Joined: 26 May 2004
Posts: 22390

PostPosted: Fri Mar 07, 2008 10:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Interesting to me how very rare a tie would be:
Code:
pokenum  -o kh 2h 6h 8d  - kc 6c as js  -- ks 9s 2d
Omaha Hi: 820 enumerated boards containing Ks 9s 2d
cards          win   %win  lose  %lose  tie  %tie     EV
8d Kh  6h  2h  276  33.66   523  63.78   21  2.56  0.349
As Js  Kc  6c  523  63.78   276  33.66   21  2.56  0.651

Even with the tremendous turn card, a split is still quite unlikely:
Code:
pokenum  -o kh 2h 6h 8d  - kc 6c as js  -- ks 9s 2d 3h
Omaha Hi: 40 enumerated boards containing Ks 9s 2d 3h
cards          win   %win  lose  %lose  tie  %tie     EV
8d Kh  6h  2h   20  50.00    19  47.50    1  2.50  0.512
As Js  Kc  6c   19  47.50    20  50.00    1  2.50  0.487
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emmapeel
2K Club


Joined: 05 Feb 2006
Posts: 2529
Location: Edinburgh

PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2008 11:38 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I wouldn't have thought that top two was good enough to be so aggressive with here against 5 opponents. There are not many back-up outs too. It's good that the two is paired also as that gives our hand better chances.

I might check the flop and see what happens before I make a move.

Very interesting though. We are prolly only behind to 66 and 22 and there is only one combination of each. We are also behind to another top two with better draws. I'm not sure if we can be behind to a big draw hand.

I'm prolly all-in on the turn too.

EP
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toom
Spelling Bee Champ


Joined: 06 Apr 2005
Posts: 2385
Location: Running for benevolent dictator next

PostPosted: Wed Mar 12, 2008 2:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

There are two huge factors involved here.

The first is position. In the worst possible position, against five opponents, top two is tough to value bet with a flush draw out there, although there are no straight draws (unless someone limped 7543).

The second is reverse implied odds. Preflop, you pretty much have to call given the ridiculous pot odds, but the only flop I want to see includes Ace of Hearts and another heart, with maybe a gutshot or better thrown in, giving you at least twelve outs. Otherwise, in PLO, you get into the reverse implied odds situation. Even if the turn comes with a miracle king, your opponent could be freerolling you with AKJ6 limped from the button (as Clabbers had, of course). Reverse implied odds is crippling when you have position. Out of position it's so much worse.

emma wrote:
I'm not sure if we can be behind to a big draw hand.


The worst I could think of was 543x with two spades. That's only a 51-49 favorite over Matthew on the flop.

Code:
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=4394426
pokenum  -o kh 6h 2h 8d  - 7s 5s 4c 3h  -- ks 6s 2d
Omaha Hi: 820 enumerated boards containing Ks 6s 2d
cards          win   %win  lose  %lose  tie  %tie     EV
8d Kh  6h  2h  402  49.02   418  50.98    0  0.00  0.490
7s 5s  4c  3h  418  50.98   402  49.02    0  0.00  0.510


Omaha writers would have this as a check-fold on the flop, I believe. On the turn, given the action, easy shove.
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clabbers



Joined: 28 Feb 2005
Posts: 550
Location: Former Absolute Baddest Beater

PostPosted: Thu Apr 03, 2008 1:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

How different is the hand if Matthew and I still have 100+ left on the turn. I think a pot bet/shove by Matthew on the turn is near suicidal then.

I got my ass stomped in a 1/2 live PLO game with 5-6 players last night the few times I bet out top two on the flop.

Also pertinent - what would be the minimum hand necessary to repot the flop. I don't think that are many weaker hands I could have. Nut flush draw with no pairs should draw cheaply, not repot.
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