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Okay fold getting 6 to 1?

 
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mconstab



Joined: 13 Dec 2005
Posts: 372
Location: Warwickshire, UK

PostPosted: Wed Jul 23, 2008 8:39 am    Post subject: Okay fold getting 6 to 1? Reply with quote

Villain is 39/16/1.3, WTSD% of 26 (all stats unknown at the time)

I plan to call any non club river against this unkown but when the club hits I figure I'm not going to be good often enough getting 6 to 1. Anyone call against an unknown?

Full Tilt Poker $5/$10 Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

Pre Flop: Hero is CO with K Spade: A Club:
1 fold, Hero raises, 2 folds, BB calls

Flop: (4.5 SB) J Club: 6 Heart: 6 Club: (2 players)
BB bets, Hero calls

Turn: (3.25 BB) 5 Diamond: (2 players)
BB bets, Hero calls

River: (5.25 BB) T Club: (2 players)
BB bets, Hero folds
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Willem
2K Club


Joined: 16 Sep 2006
Posts: 2650
Location: Netherlands

PostPosted: Thu Jul 24, 2008 1:17 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Pretty close decision. I slightly prefer a call here but folding isn't that bad.
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mconstab



Joined: 13 Dec 2005
Posts: 372
Location: Warwickshire, UK

PostPosted: Thu Jul 24, 2008 5:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Willem wrote:
Pretty close decision. I slightly prefer a call here but folding isn't that bad.


Hmm, I only beat air here though, I've got to be good around 15% of the time. I could go either way with this I think.
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Primitive
Odin Incarnate


Joined: 02 Aug 2004
Posts: 1886
Location: Oslo

PostPosted: Thu Jul 24, 2008 7:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Finding out what sort of hands villain will donk bet from the BB is well worth a slightly -EV call IMHO. I'd call.

BTW:
Why not raise the flop ?
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Willem
2K Club


Joined: 16 Sep 2006
Posts: 2650
Location: Netherlands

PostPosted: Thu Jul 24, 2008 8:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

mconstab wrote:
Hmm, I only beat air here though, I've got to be good around 15% of the time. I could go either way with this I think.


You also beat other Ax and maybe Kx hands. Whether he play these hands like this depends on the opponent. But in my experience, there are plenty of opponent who actually play Ax like this.
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