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mconstab
Joined: 13 Dec 2005 Posts: 371 Location: Warwickshire, UK
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Posted: Wed Jul 23, 2008 3:15 pm Post subject: Now I've got to the river should I call? |
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Villain is 42/22/5.7 over 109 hands
Villain had been check raising a lot of flops sometimes with air and other times with a hand so I didn't like folding on the flop. When the 6 pairs on the turn I may now be beat but convince myself that there's a flush draw out there still. When the flush hits on the river I elect to fold getting 7 to1. Odds of 7 to 1 are always so borderline with a marginal hand so I fold.
Given the fact that I'd seen villain check raise with air should I have called this river at that price?
Full Tilt Poker $5/$10 Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
Pre Flop: Hero is UTG with 8 : 8 :
Hero raises, 3 folds, BB calls
Flop: (4.5 SB) A : 4 : 6 : (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB raises, Hero calls
Turn: (4.25 BB) 6 : (2 players)
BB bets, Hero calls
River: (6.25 BB) 2 : (2 players)
BB bets, Hero folds |
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Willem 2K Club
Joined: 16 Sep 2006 Posts: 2650 Location: Netherlands
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Posted: Thu Jul 24, 2008 4:03 am Post subject: |
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| I usually show down 2nd pair here. |
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nsidestrate Suited's Love Monkey
Joined: 26 May 2004 Posts: 22429
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Posted: Thu Jul 24, 2008 4:34 am Post subject: |
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| I would never fold eights here. |
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nsidestrate Suited's Love Monkey
Joined: 26 May 2004 Posts: 22429
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Posted: Thu Jul 24, 2008 5:40 am Post subject: |
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| No, it is pretty close. On the flop, he is check-raising a pocket pair, an Ace, a four, a six, a flush draw, a straight draw or air. By the river, almost everything got there on you, except 75 a four or air. If you think he would check-call a four, he needs to have air 14% of the time or so. He might not. If he would still bet a four, I think its probably a call. If not, its probably a fold. |
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mconstab
Joined: 13 Dec 2005 Posts: 371 Location: Warwickshire, UK
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Posted: Thu Jul 24, 2008 5:40 am Post subject: |
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| Okay as I thought I'm giving way too much credit to my opponents hand. |
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nsidestrate Suited's Love Monkey
Joined: 26 May 2004 Posts: 22429
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Posted: Thu Jul 24, 2008 5:41 am Post subject: |
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| Didn't you have a different post here a second ago? I might be losing my mind. |
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mconstab
Joined: 13 Dec 2005 Posts: 371 Location: Warwickshire, UK
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Posted: Thu Jul 24, 2008 5:48 am Post subject: |
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| nsidestrate wrote: | | Didn't you have a different post here a second ago? I might be losing my mind. |
Lol, yes I deleted it after realising when typing the post that there was enough hands in villains range to warrent a call getting 7 to 1. As you say I've only got to be good 13-14% of the time and as I'd seen this guy raise the flop with air before there's a good chance I'm good often enough at this price. |
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