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mconstab
Joined: 13 Dec 2005 Posts: 364 Location: Warwickshire, UK
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Posted: Tue Jul 01, 2008 12:57 pm Post subject: Interesting turn spot |
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Villain is 28/19/2 with WTSD% 35 after 1401 hands
I've left the rest of the hand out to concentrate on the action up to this point. I'm particularly interested in the turn raise. What's my line if he 3 bets the turn?
Full Tilt Poker $3/$6 Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
Pre Flop: Hero is BTN with K : Q :
2 folds, CO calls, Hero raises, SB calls, 1 fold, CO calls
Flop: (7 SB) 4 : 6 : 2 : (3 players)
SB bets, CO calls, Hero calls
Turn: (5 BB) Q : (3 players)
SB bets, CO folds, Hero raises |
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Willem 2K Club
Joined: 16 Sep 2006 Posts: 2647 Location: Netherlands
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Posted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 1:23 am Post subject: |
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| I don't like raising this turn and folding to any further aggression. So if he 3-bets, you should just call down. If you think your hand is too weak to raise and call down a 3-bet, you'd be better off just calling down. |
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mconstab
Joined: 13 Dec 2005 Posts: 364 Location: Warwickshire, UK
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Posted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 6:31 am Post subject: |
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The reason I posted this hand is because I got flamed in the chat for the way I played it by the Villain. He informed me that my flop peel was poor and that my turn raise was horrendous stating that I only get action from a better hand. The villain in this case for those who play at Full Tilt was Steinway who plays the mid limit games full time.
He showed up with a set of 4's here so obviously 3 bet the turn and I called down. I'd always raise in this spot figuring that I'm ahead of his range which could consist of many draws as well as made hands but I'm beginning to realise that playing these hands passively can be beneficial.
FWIW I don't think the flop peel is poor with the backdoor flush and I don't think the turn raise is that bad. |
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Willem 2K Club
Joined: 16 Sep 2006 Posts: 2647 Location: Netherlands
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Posted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 7:29 am Post subject: |
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| Calling down is better if he has a draw, as you win 2 bets regardless when he misses but lose less in case he hits. Just calling also gives him the chance to fire on the river with a total bluff. And by just calling down, you lose less to a better hand. The only reason to raise this is to extract one bet extra from a worse 1 pair hand. Making notes on what hands he donks with will go a long way to determining the correct action. |
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nsidestrate Suited's Love Monkey
Joined: 26 May 2004 Posts: 22401
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Posted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 7:54 am Post subject: |
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The flop peel is fine, in my opinion. Against some opponents, I would have raised the flop, but the peel seems standard. Folding getting 9:1 is crazy, especially since you might win the hand if an Ace flops anyhow.
I'm on the fence about the turn raise. It is certainly not true that you will only get action from a better hand. Both a flush draw and a medium pair will likely call you down. Based on the action, I'd tend to put the SB on a random pair like a six and I would probably raise.
I'm going to predict that he actually held 64 and three bet the turn and you then sucked out on him on the river. That makes me happy. |
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mconstab
Joined: 13 Dec 2005 Posts: 364 Location: Warwickshire, UK
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Posted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 8:20 am Post subject: |
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| Willem wrote: | | Calling down is better if he has a draw, as you win 2 bets regardless when he misses but lose less in case he hits. Just calling also gives him the chance to fire on the river with a total bluff. And by just calling down, you lose less to a better hand. The only reason to raise this is to extract one bet extra from a worse 1 pair hand. Making notes on what hands he donks with will go a long way to determining the correct action. |
I'm leaning towards calling in this situation now as I know that villain is a competent player. I've got to get out of the habit of protecting against draws HU in position and think a lot more about inducing from worse hands.
If villain bet and CO called on the turn then it makes more sense to raise right to charge the draws out there? |
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mconstab
Joined: 13 Dec 2005 Posts: 364 Location: Warwickshire, UK
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Posted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 8:27 am Post subject: |
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| nsidestrate wrote: | The flop peel is fine, in my opinion. Against some opponents, I would have raised the flop, but the peel seems standard. Folding getting 9:1 is crazy, especially since you might win the hand if an Ace flops anyhow.
I'm on the fence about the turn raise. It is certainly not true that you will only get action from a better hand. Both a flush draw and a medium pair will likely call you down. Based on the action, I'd tend to put the SB on a random pair like a six and I would probably raise.
I'm going to predict that he actually held 64 and three bet the turn and you then sucked out on him on the river. That makes me happy. |
Looking back at the hand I think it's very unlikely he has a 6 in this spot as I don't see what he would call with in the SB which included a 6. As he's a TAG I'd probably put him on pairs up to 88, higher suited connectors (89s+), or suited broadways.
Oh and he flopped a set of 4's so basically owned me. |
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Willem 2K Club
Joined: 16 Sep 2006 Posts: 2647 Location: Netherlands
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Posted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 9:00 am Post subject: |
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| mconstab wrote: | | If villain bet and CO called on the turn then it makes more sense to raise right to charge the draws out there? |
In that case, you are certain you are ahead of CO and a raise becomes more enticing. (And the only correct thing to do here)
But there may actually be another reason to raise this. You surely want to raise sometimes as a semi-bluff since villains' range contains a number of draws.
But you shouldn't raise only as a semi-bluff, so you need to also raise some made hands for balance. (This all is probably wasted energy here is Steinway usually plays 4+ tables and won't notice anyhow) |
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ineedcash112
Joined: 25 Jun 2008 Posts: 27
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Posted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 4:50 pm Post subject: |
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| Looks like a standard line for me, your opponent could have a worse Q (e.g. QT), in general I don't give too much respect to a donk bet on turn. Of course he had 44 and won but he just played the hand poorly imo. |
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Skrotnisse
Joined: 27 Oct 2007 Posts: 530 Location: Sweden
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Posted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 10:58 am Post subject: |
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Wow, that guy was full of BS.
Of course he calls down with a worse hand. And if you believe he wouldn´t you should start to turn raise bluff him and showdown raise him each and every hand.
You played the hand standard. |
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Bugsbunny Wascally
Joined: 07 Apr 2004 Posts: 7625 Location: Drinking Carrot juice
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Posted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 3:30 am Post subject: |
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You can definitely raise-bluff Sten off a hand - if he respects your play, and don't do it too often.. I have a LOT of hands in against him We tend to not tangle with each other too often.
In this hand you have to figure that he's not calling from the SB with junk. The flop lead is unusual for him against a preflop raiser. Against him I might be tempted to actually fold this flop, although it's still possible he has something like Ax suited that connected (he does tend to be a little loose with cold-calls, I think. I'd have to check the stats to be sure.
I wouldn't raise the turn here though, I'd just call down. If I did raise and he 3 bet, I'd fold - but that's because of history between us. If he 3 bets me here he's not bluffing, and he has me beat (I don't think I've ever seen a bluff from him in that situation). I'll pull some stats when I get a chance. |
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