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kristopher11
Joined: 13 Dec 2006
Posts: 4
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 Posted: Thu Dec 28, 2006 6:52 am Post subject: Help me figure this stat out please. |
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| Can someone help me figure out that lets say I have a pocket pair (3, 3) and I make a large bet and everyone folds except for one person who calls? Assuming that he does not have a pocket pair, what are the odds that he will pair one of his cards on the flop? Thank you for any help. |
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irishiain
2K Club
Joined: 02 Aug 2005
Posts: 2136
Location: NC
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| Posted: Thu Dec 28, 2006 8:38 am Post subject: |
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You'd be better off posting this in the 'Probabilities and Pot Odds' forum.
I'm sure Bull will move it... |
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irishiain
2K Club
Joined: 02 Aug 2005
Posts: 2136
Location: NC
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| Posted: Thu Dec 28, 2006 8:43 am Post subject: |
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Oh and the answer to your question...
Say your opponent holds AK, then there are 6 cards out of the remaining 48 (removing your cards and his since these are known) that give him a pair.
So then probability of him flopping a pair is 6/48 x 3 or a little over 37% |
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irishiain
2K Club
Joined: 02 Aug 2005
Posts: 2136
Location: NC
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| Posted: Thu Dec 28, 2006 8:46 am Post subject: |
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| Why do I feel like this is really a spam account... |
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taz115
Hzamm9rd, Yo!!!
Joined: 08 Oct 2005
Posts: 8436
Location: Edmonton, Canada
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| Posted: Thu Dec 28, 2006 12:14 pm Post subject: |
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It is not a spam account irish.
Many experienced players know how to do the calculations but they memorize certain numbers to help them quickly when needed. A common number to remember is that a single player will miss the flop approximately 1/3 of the time. Now that player might have a premium hand already and not need help from the flop but you can learn how to calculate it from irish's example or just remember the number.
taz115 |
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niin
ITH Software Programmer
Joined: 15 Jun 2004
Posts: 4489
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| Posted: Thu Dec 28, 2006 2:22 pm Post subject: |
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| taz115 wrote: | | A common number to remember is that a single player will miss the flop approximately 1/3 of the time. |
Isn't it that a single player will HIT the flop 1/3rd of the time? |
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taz115
Hzamm9rd, Yo!!!
Joined: 08 Oct 2005
Posts: 8436
Location: Edmonton, Canada
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| Posted: Thu Dec 28, 2006 2:31 pm Post subject: |
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Ehhhh, yeah. So he misses 2/3 of the time. I should think before I post  |
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irishiain
2K Club
Joined: 02 Aug 2005
Posts: 2136
Location: NC
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taz115
Hzamm9rd, Yo!!!
Joined: 08 Oct 2005
Posts: 8436
Location: Edmonton, Canada
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| Posted: Thu Dec 28, 2006 5:36 pm Post subject: |
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| Interesting. His posts actually require effort. |
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Fumseck
Cannuque
Joined: 17 Jun 2005
Posts: 3306
Location: Quebec, Canada
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| Posted: Thu Dec 28, 2006 6:03 pm Post subject: |
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Hey Kris, why don't you use your SPAM software to calculate those odds?
It doesn't work? |
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ismael
Joined: 30 Dec 2006
Posts: 2
Location: USA
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| Posted: Sat Dec 30, 2006 9:49 am Post subject: Help me figure this stat out please. |
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| <<more spam deleted by increasingly annoyed shark>> |
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Fumseck
Cannuque
Joined: 17 Jun 2005
Posts: 3306
Location: Quebec, Canada
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| Posted: Sat Dec 30, 2006 11:20 am Post subject: |
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There's the SPAM.
Good work guys.  |
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