Joined: 13 Dec 2005 Posts: 363 Location: Warwickshire, UK
Posted: Wed Jun 25, 2008 12:03 pm Post subject: Calling down with AK
Villain is 69/13/1.62 and WTSD% of 31 over 168 hands.
Looking back at this hand I'm being too tight here and think I have to call down given the opponent. It may have been that I had no stats on him prior to this hand. The turn of the 9 spades puts me in a bad position as I could be drawing dead and now I only beat air or straight draws. I figure I should at least see a river.
Depending on the river am I going to win my fair share seeing a showdown here?
He is not very aggressive so he probably has something when he raises the flop. On the turn, I will cost you 2BB to win 6.5BB. So, you need to win this around 25% to make calling down EV+. But you are only beating strait draws here, behind to any pair and the flush. In the end, I don't think you will win this often enough so I think a fold would be best.
You don't have to showdown every AK, especially at these limits where people usually have what they represent when they become aggressive after the flop (when they weren't the preflop raiser).
Joined: 13 Dec 2005 Posts: 363 Location: Warwickshire, UK
Posted: Wed Jun 25, 2008 12:55 pm Post subject:
It appears that with several of the hands I've posted my initial play has been deemed to be the correct line. The decision for this hand was pretty straight forward when I actually made it in my mind, it's not until reviewing my hands after that I doubt my play. I tend to be more of a feel player so maybe that explains it, nevertheless time to have a play with some ranges in stove.
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