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Bet this flop ?

 
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Skybeau



Joined: 20 Nov 2005
Posts: 21

PostPosted: Sun Apr 08, 2007 6:12 am    Post subject: Bet this flop ? Reply with quote

I was actually in the SB, just wondering if I should have led out for the full pot bet or just checked like I did.

Poker Stars
Pot Limit Omaha Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
7 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $84.65
UTG+1: $18.50
MP1: $47.70
CO: $44.30
Hero: $15.70
SB: $100000
BB: $16.75

Pre-flop: (7 players) Hero is Button with
UTG calls $0.5 (pot was $0.75), UTG+1 calls $0.5 (pot was $1.25), 2 folds, Hero calls $0.25 (pot was $1.75), BB checks.

Flop: ($2.25, 5 players)
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toom
Spelling Bee Champ


Joined: 06 Apr 2005
Posts: 2386
Location: Running for benevolent dictator next

PostPosted: Mon Apr 09, 2007 7:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

On the button, I'd probably fold the flop if anybody bets first. If checked to you, you can stick in a pot-sized bet, because you have position on the turn if someone calls. If someone check-raises, drop it, you don't have this hand crushed. If someone calls the flop and checks to you on the turn, check behind and hope for a safe river card.

All of the above assumes Omaha high-only, since that's what the converter says. If it's hi-lo, I have a different answer.


Think about what could come on the turn that you hate out of the 45 unknown cards:

10 spades...your high only hand is worth nothing unless you get a free showdown. You could maybe call a min-bet on the river, but that's about it, and that's probably donating.

34 non-spades...A, 2, 3, 4 (12 cards) make a low a virtual certainty, and you're playing for half a pot that you might lose on the river anyway.

5, 6 (6 cards) pair the board and calls are unsafe. The 6 of Spades might beat you with the flush if not the boat.

7, 8 (6 cards) make your nut straight the second-nut straight and put a low on the board.

9 (3 cards) pairs the board.

10, J, Q, K (12 cards) is safe for now, but puts higher straight draws out. Someone could have A2QJ, A2KT, or the like.

This is a situation to control the size of the pot by checking behind. No final two cards can come that don't either: 1) make a low possible, or 2) make your 87 less than the nuts.

This is a fold pre-flop in both hi-lo AND hi-only Omaha.
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