Agony of the FTOPS Razz bubble

[clabbers]

I satellited into FTOPS Event 21 this evening and got pretty deep. 577 runners, paying 64. With 74 left, I got all in with a 72% chance of doubling up, two cards to come. It was not to be. I did outlast every Full Tilt Pro except Stuart Paterson.

Full Tilt Poker Game #7666987193: FTOPS Event #21 (53834890), Table 68 - 1200/2400 Ante 200 - Limit Razz - 1:52:43 ET - 2008/08/16
Seat 1: Zacpacker (68,020)
Seat 2: clabbers (4,494)
Seat 3: Rocqoel (16,956)
Seat 4: The Omaholic (9,088)
Seat 6: doschdi (2,040)
Seat 7: JacktheRipper (13,500)
Seat 8: Todula (37,996)
Zacpacker antes 200
clabbers antes 200
Rocqoel antes 200
The Omaholic antes 200
doschdi antes 200
JacktheRipper antes 200
Todula antes 200
*** 3RD STREET ***
Dealt to Zacpacker [3s]
Dealt to clabbers [8s Ad] [4d]
Dealt to Rocqoel [5c]
Dealt to The Omaholic [8h]
Dealt to doschdi [Ks]
Dealt to JacktheRipper [Ah]
Dealt to Todula [6h]
doschdi is high with [Ks]
doschdi brings in for 400
JacktheRipper folds
Todula calls 400
Zacpacker folds
clabbers completes it to 1,200
Rocqoel folds
The Omaholic calls 1,200
doschdi has 15 seconds left to act
doschdi folds
Todula calls 800
*** 4TH STREET ***
Dealt to clabbers [8s Ad 4d] [3c]
Dealt to The Omaholic [8h] [6d]
Dealt to Todula [6h] [Ts]
clabbers bets 1,200
The Omaholic folds
Todula calls 1,200
*** 5TH STREET ***
Dealt to clabbers [8s Ad 4d 3c] [9s]
Dealt to Todula [6h Ts] [9h]
clabbers bets 1,894, and is all in
Todula calls 1,894
clabbers shows [8s Ad 4d 3c 9s]
Todula shows [2d As 6h Ts 9h]
*** 6TH STREET ***
Dealt to clabbers [8s Ad 4d 3c 9s] [9c]
Dealt to Todula [2d As 6h Ts 9h] [8d]
*** 7TH STREET ***
Dealt to clabbers [8s Ad 4d 3c 9s 9c] [Ac]
Dealt to Todula [2d As 6h Ts 9h 8d] [7h]
doschdi: 7
clabbers shows [8s Ad 4d 3c 9s 9c Ac] 9,8,4,3,A
Todula shows [2d As 6h Ts 9h 8d 7h] 8,7,6,2,A
Todula wins the pot (11,588) with 8,7,6,2,A
clabbers stands up
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 11,588 | Rake 0
Seat 1: Zacpacker folded on 3rd St.
Seat 2: clabbers showed [8s Ad 4d 3c 9s 9c Ac] and lost with 9,8,4,3,A
Seat 3: Rocqoel folded on 3rd St.
Seat 4: The Omaholic folded on 4th St.
Seat 6: doschdi folded on 3rd St.
Seat 7: JacktheRipper folded on 3rd St.
Seat 8: Todula showed [2d As 6h Ts 9h 8d 7h] and won (11,588) with 8,7,6,2,A

http://poker-tools.FlopTurnRiver.com/Poker-Odds-Calculator.php
FlopTurnRiver.com -r Ad 3c 4d 8s 9s - As 2d 6h 9h Ts / 3s 5c 8h Ks Ah
Razz (7-card Stud A-5 Low): 396270 enumerated outcomes
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
9s 8s 3c Ad 4d 286052 72.19 110164 27.80 54 0.01 0.722
As Ts 2d 9h 6h 110164 27.80 286052 72.19 54 0.01 0.278