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Willem 2K Club
Joined: 16 Sep 2006 Posts: 2685 Location: Netherlands
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Posted: Fri Jun 27, 2008 5:10 am Post subject: A8o overlimps |
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New at the table so no reads.
Full Tilt Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $10/$20
6 players
Converter
Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with
UTG calls, UTG+1 folds, CO calls, Hero calls, SB raises, BB folds, UTG calls, CO calls, Hero calls.
The jury is still out on the initial preflop call. I think they will raise most better aces and I have position the entire hand, so I think it's fine.
Flop: (7SB, 4 players)
SB bets, UTG calls, CO raises, Hero ???
Hero's action? |
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mconstab
Joined: 13 Dec 2005 Posts: 443 Location: Warwickshire, UK
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Posted: Fri Jun 27, 2008 6:13 am Post subject: |
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I fold pre flop as I don't think I'd be skilled enough to play this in a potential 5 way pot but I know you play quite a LAG style so it probably fits your image. I raise A9o in this spot depending on how loose the blinds are.
As played I fold this flop. SB shows considerable strength by raising from the blinds pre and firing this 4 way flop. Obviously if CO doesn't raise I'm continuing but would play it passive from there on in. |
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Bugsbunny Wascally
Joined: 07 Apr 2004 Posts: 7687 Location: Drinking Carrot juice
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Posted: Fri Jun 27, 2008 9:35 am Post subject: |
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You have 2 options. Fold or 3 bet. I vote for fold.
You have, in front of you, a bet, a cal, and a raise. You also have no diamonds in hand.
You may be ahead here (if so it's against a weaker A - there's almost certainly at least one out there). But you're in potential trouble to a lot of cards almost any card can give someone 2 pair (especially Aces up). An 8 of diamonds isn't going to make you feel great either.
As far as preflop goes, I think it's fine. I'll limp with a lot of hands here - including pretty much any A. One of the advantages of position is you get the ability to get out cheap when you need to (like this hand).
One note - I wouldn't be raising A9o here - I rather take advantage of my position and just over limp. I probably raise ATs, but not ATo. A9s is borderline, but I'd still just overlimp.
Now if we were talking about only 1, loose, limper (and some not overly loose blinds) then I'd be raising, probably down to about A6o, maybe even lower. But with 2 limpers already in I'm not going to isolate so I'll just play positional advantage (and a preflop raise will cost me that). |
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Willem 2K Club
Joined: 16 Sep 2006 Posts: 2685 Location: Netherlands
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Posted: Sun Jun 29, 2008 4:27 am Post subject: |
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I agree that I indeed have two options, raise or fold. There is actually a little bit of information I forgot to mention. SB limped UTG a few hands ago, which means he is probably a weak player. And because he is a weak player, he may fire a continuation bet regardless of his hand. If I assign him the following range { TT+, AQs+, AQo+ }, my A8o has 48% equity. Then there is UTG who almost never has a better hand (unless he is sandbagging). And CO would probably raise any better Ax hand preflop so his most likely hand is a draw.
Anyway, I liked my chances here and elected to 3-bet. SB folded.
Full Tilt Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $10/$20
6 players
Converter
Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with
UTG calls, UTG+1 folds, CO calls, Hero calls, SB raises, BB folds, UTG calls, CO calls, Hero calls.
Flop: (7SB, 4 players)
SB bets, UTG calls, CO raises, Hero 3-bets, 2 folds, CO calls.
Turn: (7.5BB, 2 players)
CO checks, Hero ??? |
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Skrotnisse
Joined: 27 Oct 2007 Posts: 530 Location: Sweden
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Posted: Sun Jun 29, 2008 4:42 am Post subject: |
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I would check it now and call a river bet.
The pot is big so we should try to protect our hand but there´s no hand he should be folding after this. If he raised flop with a crappy gutshot then he is probably not folding now. He might have a PP but then a free card only gives 2 outs for free. But most likely he has an A or a K and we dont need to bet for value against that hand. Sure he could have a worse Ax, but the river might also give us a split. |
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mconstab
Joined: 13 Dec 2005 Posts: 443 Location: Warwickshire, UK
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Posted: Sun Jun 29, 2008 6:15 am Post subject: |
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| Skrotnisse wrote: | I would check it now and call a river bet.
The pot is big so we should try to protect our hand but there´s no hand he should be folding after this. If he raised flop with a crappy gutshot then he is probably not folding now. He might have a PP but then a free card only gives 2 outs for free. But most likely he has an A or a K and we dont need to bet for value against that hand. Sure he could have a worse Ax, but the river might also give us a split. |
Yes I'd go with this. Unless he got out of line with a lower pocket pair (99-QQ) I don't think you extract much value and I still think your behind. If you bet and villain raises that would be a horrible spot but as the pot is so big...
Something tells me you won this hand though. Also that's not a bad table to be playing at 10/20! You read on many forums that limit is full of TAGS but I never have any problem finding a fishy table at 3/6 to 5/10 at Full Tilt. |
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ineedcash112
Joined: 25 Jun 2008 Posts: 27
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Posted: Sun Jun 29, 2008 6:49 am Post subject: |
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preflop call? i think you have a reason for this. care to share?
on turn i'd fire a second barrel but fold to a check raise, you have demonstrated too much strength for anyone to make a fancy play on turn. |
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Willem 2K Club
Joined: 16 Sep 2006 Posts: 2685 Location: Netherlands
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Posted: Sun Jun 29, 2008 7:06 am Post subject: |
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| ineedcash112 wrote: | | preflop call? i think you have a reason for this. care to share? |
I think the hand is EV+ to play, so I call. But A8o doesn't do that well multiway so I don't like to raise.
But to anyone who suggest checking behind. How likely do you think it is that I have the best hand at this point? |
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Bugsbunny Wascally
Joined: 07 Apr 2004 Posts: 7687 Location: Drinking Carrot juice
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Posted: Sun Jun 29, 2008 7:13 am Post subject: |
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| Skrotnisse wrote: | I would check it now and call a river bet.
The pot is big so we should try to protect our hand but there´s no hand he should be folding after this. If he raised flop with a crappy gutshot then he is probably not folding now. He might have a PP but then a free card only gives 2 outs for free. But most likely he has an A or a K and we dont need to bet for value against that hand. Sure he could have a worse Ax, but the river might also give us a split. |
Forgot a little bit of information Given that info I think the 3 bet is fine. Assuming CO is a decent player he can, indeed, be raising with a fairly wide range here - including a Kx. A flush draw he can play either way. A gutshot is questionable, but if he has a read close to yours he could indeed be raising a gutshot and hoping to get to see the river for free and figuring that pairing one of his cards will also possibly win. A raise with a gutshot by him is actually a decent play, especially when you add in potential fold equity.
Anyway as far as how to play the turn I agree with Skrot here, and it's not even really close. You want to see a showdown. Although if the opps are weak enough they may not even c/r with a K here since they'll want to see if the flush comes in and then "trap" you on the river with a c/r. But I'd need a pretty good read to risk that one. CO may have as many as 12 outs here, and he's not going away no matter what. If he's really good he could c/r with a 12 out draw here, trying to get you to fold the exact type of hand you have. Other than a possible flush draw you're WA/WB, and that calls for a check. |
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Bugsbunny Wascally
Joined: 07 Apr 2004 Posts: 7687 Location: Drinking Carrot juice
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Posted: Sun Jun 29, 2008 7:20 am Post subject: |
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| Willem wrote: | | ineedcash112 wrote: | | preflop call? i think you have a reason for this. care to share? |
I think the hand is EV+ to play, so I call. But A8o doesn't do that well multiway so I don't like to raise.
But to anyone who suggest checking behind. How likely do you think it is that I have the best hand at this point? |
Chances are fairly reasonable given the flop action after the 3 bet. AT/A9 are still possible. Kx is definitely possible. If you bet and they all fold you gain nothing. If you check you may entice a river bluff (and possibly call) If you have 3 players that will call with any pair then a bet would be in order.
If the river gets checked around, after a turn check, you can consider value betting the river. Chances are better then that a weaker pair will call, since they may put you on a busted flush draw. |
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Willem 2K Club
Joined: 16 Sep 2006 Posts: 2685 Location: Netherlands
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Posted: Sun Jun 29, 2008 12:47 pm Post subject: |
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| Bugsbunny wrote: | | Anyway as far as how to play the turn I agree with Skrot here, and it's not even really close. You want to see a showdown. |
I don't think folding to a check-raise is automatic here. First of all, the pot is big. And second, his check-raise isn't really consistent with a better hand. I would probably still call down. (But folding as these limits may still be better, as people don't bluff anymore after this display of strength.)
A lot depends on what assumptions we are going to make regarding villains' range:
- I'm not worried about a boat since he would probably cap the flop with a set/2pair. He could go for a turn check-raise but he has no guarantee I will bet there. On the other hand, people will still slowplay OOP at these limits.
- I don't think will raise the flop with Kx. Besides SB, he also has to worry about the cold caller and me acting behind him. I think raising the flop Kx in his position is a bit spewy.
- I also don't think he has a better Ax, as he will probably raise that preflop.
There is one thing a favor of checking behind. Given his probable range, I won't be able to get two streets of value. So I might not be useful to bet both streets. On the other hand, villain might not bluff the river with me showing this much strength. So betting the turn might be the only way to extract some more value from a draw.
Not really sure what the best action would be. I the actual hand, I bet and villain just called.
Full Tilt Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $10/$20
6 players
Converter
Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with
UTG calls, UTG+1 folds, CO calls, Hero calls, SB raises, BB folds, UTG calls, CO calls, Hero calls.
Flop: (7SB, 4 players)
SB bets, UTG calls, CO raises, Hero 3-bets, 2 folds, CO calls.
Turn: (7.5BB, 2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets, CO calls.
River: (9.5BB, 2 players)
CO checks, Hero ???
Valuebet? |
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Willem 2K Club
Joined: 16 Sep 2006 Posts: 2685 Location: Netherlands
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Posted: Tue Jul 01, 2008 3:39 am Post subject: |
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I decided to throw in another valuebet but I'm not sure if that was correct. With this card on the river, my kicker doesn't play anymore and I split with any other Ax. If I bet, I do need to play of a raise since he can easily check-raise a busted draw. If I give him the following range {QJ, QT, JT}, then my equity is 60%. If you throw some busted draws into the mix, bet-calling might become correct. But only very slightly. Checking behind might have been better.
Full Tilt Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $10/$20
6 players
Converter
Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with
UTG calls, UTG+1 folds, CO calls, Hero calls, SB raises, BB folds, UTG calls, CO calls, Hero calls.
Flop: (7SB, 4 players)
SB bets, UTG calls, CO raises, Hero 3-bets, 2 folds, CO calls.
Turn: (7.5BB, 2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets, CO calls.
River: (9.5BB, 2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets, CO calls.
Results:
Final pot: 11.5BB
Villain shows  |
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