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7 Stud: Two Pair against visible four flush on 6th

 
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Holgininho



Joined: 01 Jan 2007
Posts: 468
Location: Essen

PostPosted: Thu May 31, 2007 4:02 pm    Post subject: 7 Stud: Two Pair against visible four flush on 6th Reply with quote

Is this a call on 3rd street? Or should I have raised? Folded?

On 5th I bet again. Some of the flush cards are already dead, and he brought it in on 3rd, so it's unlikely he has already a made flush.

On 6th things have changed, but I called hoping to hit the full house. I didn't calculate pot odds at that time, but 3 of my outs were live, and 14 cards were already known (ask not if I had remembered all of the folded cards). So I had the odds were 35:3 against improving, or nearly 12:1. So I guess I should have folded. Surely the chance that he doesn't have the flush he represents isn't high enough to justify a call.

7 Card Stud High ($1/$2), Ante $0,25, Bring-In $0,50 (converter)

3rd Street - (1.25 SB)

Seat 2: xx xx JClub:___folds
Seat 5: xx xx 8Heart:___folds
Seat 6: xx xx 8Club:___calls
Hero: KHeart: 4Heart: 4Spade:___calls
Seat 8: xx xx 2Club:___brings-in

4th Street - (2.75 SB)

Seat 6: xx xx 8Club: 5Diamond:___folds
Hero: KHeart: 4Heart: 4Spade: KSpade:___bets
Seat 8: xx xx 2Club: 4Club:___calls

5th Street - (2.38 BB)

Hero: KHeart: 4Heart: 4Spade: KSpade: 9Diamond:___bets
Seat 8: xx xx 2Club: 4Club: TClub:___calls

6th Street - (4.38 BB)

Hero: KHeart: 4Heart: 4Spade: KSpade: 9Diamond: JHeart:___checks___calls
Seat 8: xx xx 2Club: 4Club: TClub: QClub:___bets

River - (6.38 BB)

Hero: KHeart: 4Heart: 4Spade: KSpade: 9Diamond: JHeart: KClub:___checks___raises___raises
Seat 8: xx xx 2Club: 4Club: TClub: QClub: xx___bets___raises___calls

Total pot: (14.38 BB)
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Icall
53o


Joined: 20 May 2004
Posts: 3651
Location: NYC

PostPosted: Thu May 31, 2007 5:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't know what the standard play on 3rd is either but I can see a good case for raising and knocking out the bring in.

I probably play the same way through the river.

On the river I think you got a little too fancy for your own good. Your hand is extremely concealed, you dont even have an open pair. If you bet the river he will probably raise you with a flush anyway and you can 3 bet it and hope he caps. You'll also prevent him from checking a pair or 2 behind if he doesn't actually have the flush by leading.
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niin
ITH Software Programmer


Joined: 15 Jun 2004
Posts: 4496

PostPosted: Thu May 31, 2007 6:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think you have to check the river, since you checked 6th. You can assume your opponent will bet the river, since they probably already have a made hand, and you checked when the 4 clubs came up. Checking 6th then leading the river looks weird (it would to me); it's either a total bluff or you just hit something that beats the flush, so I guess it more depends on what your opponent thinks of you.
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Icall
53o


Joined: 20 May 2004
Posts: 3651
Location: NYC

PostPosted: Thu May 31, 2007 7:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Check raising is a lot scarier than a donk IMO, especially at that level.

Most people are thinking on the first level and will raise with a flush there against a completely benign board HU. If he doesn't have a flush then you probably cost yourself a bet more often than you gain a bet by checking.

As it was the guy 3 bet a CR anyway so it likely didnt matter. He had a flush and was going to cap it out regardless. I still think you make more $$$ by leading against typical 1/2 players when they have a flush there.
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nsidestrate
Suited's Love Monkey


Joined: 26 May 2004
Posts: 22651

PostPosted: Thu May 31, 2007 9:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

In a 7 stud game populated by sane people, you can either get two bets on one bet on the river. A game where the flush three bets your check-raise is unknown to me. Wink

Standard play on third is probably a fold, although I'm OK with a raise. the open limp short-handed is a real sign of weakness.

5th is tricky. Even if you think he is bluffing as often as 33% of the time, he still has a ton of outs to catch the flush. Its hard to imagine what he has other than a flush draw, so you have to figure he has hit. If you think he has the flush, chasing three outers on 6th is not usually a winning approach. It boils down to how often you think are good when you miss. If check-call, check-call will win the pot often enough, you can chase on 6th. In a normal game, it isn't and you can't. I really don't know enough about online $1/$2 to say if it is worth it here.
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Holgininho



Joined: 01 Jan 2007
Posts: 468
Location: Essen

PostPosted: Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:40 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

nsidestrate wrote:
In a 7 stud game populated by sane people, you can either get two bets on one bet on the river. A game where the flush three bets your check-raise is unknown to me. Wink


I was surprised, too. Razz Still, there wasn't a pair showing on my board, so I think the 3-bet was triggered by wishful thinking.

Quote:
5th is tricky. Even if you think he is bluffing as often as 33% of the time, he still has a ton of outs to catch the flush. Its hard to imagine what he has other than a flush draw, so you have to figure he has hit. If you think he has the flush, chasing three outers on 6th is not usually a winning approach. It boils down to how often you think are good when you miss. If check-call, check-call will win the pot often enough, you can chase on 6th. In a normal game, it isn't and you can't. I really don't know enough about online $1/$2 to say if it is worth it here.


The 1/2 games at the Cryptos are generally loose passive with more than 50 % of the players seeing 4th street and many of them chasing weak draws too far. Therefore I was quite confident I was still ahead on 5th street and didn't want to give a free card. I agree that I should have dumped it on 6th and I really don't have a good excuse for calling (I guess "I'm not used to count outs doesn't count).

I still like the check-raise on 7th. I was sure he would bet his flush again. But I couldn't expect a reasonable opponent to raise a bet into an open four flush, so I went for the check-raise to get two bets instead of one.
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