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Holgininho
Joined: 01 Jan 2007 Posts: 468 Location: Essen
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Posted: Thu May 31, 2007 4:02 pm Post subject: 7 Stud: Two Pair against visible four flush on 6th |
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Is this a call on 3rd street? Or should I have raised? Folded?
On 5th I bet again. Some of the flush cards are already dead, and he brought it in on 3rd, so it's unlikely he has already a made flush.
On 6th things have changed, but I called hoping to hit the full house. I didn't calculate pot odds at that time, but 3 of my outs were live, and 14 cards were already known (ask not if I had remembered all of the folded cards). So I had the odds were 35:3 against improving, or nearly 12:1. So I guess I should have folded. Surely the chance that he doesn't have the flush he represents isn't high enough to justify a call.
7 Card Stud High ($1/$2), Ante $0,25, Bring-In $0,50 (converter)
3rd Street - (1.25 SB)
Seat 2: xx xx J :___folds
Seat 5: xx xx 8 :___folds
Seat 6: xx xx 8 :___calls
Hero: K : 4 : 4 :___calls
Seat 8: xx xx 2 :___brings-in
4th Street - (2.75 SB)
Seat 6: xx xx 8 : 5 :___folds
Hero: K : 4 : 4 : K :___bets
Seat 8: xx xx 2 : 4 :___calls
5th Street - (2.38 BB)
Hero: K : 4 : 4 : K : 9 :___bets
Seat 8: xx xx 2 : 4 : T :___calls
6th Street - (4.38 BB)
Hero: K : 4 : 4 : K : 9 : J :___checks___calls
Seat 8: xx xx 2 : 4 : T : Q :___bets
River - (6.38 BB)
Hero: K : 4 : 4 : K : 9 : J : K :___checks___raises___raises
Seat 8: xx xx 2 : 4 : T : Q : xx___bets___raises___calls
Total pot: (14.38 BB) |
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Icall 53o
Joined: 20 May 2004 Posts: 3651 Location: NYC
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Posted: Thu May 31, 2007 5:58 pm Post subject: |
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I don't know what the standard play on 3rd is either but I can see a good case for raising and knocking out the bring in.
I probably play the same way through the river.
On the river I think you got a little too fancy for your own good. Your hand is extremely concealed, you dont even have an open pair. If you bet the river he will probably raise you with a flush anyway and you can 3 bet it and hope he caps. You'll also prevent him from checking a pair or 2 behind if he doesn't actually have the flush by leading. |
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niin ITH Software Programmer
Joined: 15 Jun 2004 Posts: 4496
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Posted: Thu May 31, 2007 6:16 pm Post subject: |
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| I think you have to check the river, since you checked 6th. You can assume your opponent will bet the river, since they probably already have a made hand, and you checked when the 4 clubs came up. Checking 6th then leading the river looks weird (it would to me); it's either a total bluff or you just hit something that beats the flush, so I guess it more depends on what your opponent thinks of you. |
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Icall 53o
Joined: 20 May 2004 Posts: 3651 Location: NYC
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Posted: Thu May 31, 2007 7:38 pm Post subject: |
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Check raising is a lot scarier than a donk IMO, especially at that level.
Most people are thinking on the first level and will raise with a flush there against a completely benign board HU. If he doesn't have a flush then you probably cost yourself a bet more often than you gain a bet by checking.
As it was the guy 3 bet a CR anyway so it likely didnt matter. He had a flush and was going to cap it out regardless. I still think you make more $$$ by leading against typical 1/2 players when they have a flush there. |
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nsidestrate Suited's Love Monkey
Joined: 26 May 2004 Posts: 22651
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Posted: Thu May 31, 2007 9:04 pm Post subject: |
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In a 7 stud game populated by sane people, you can either get two bets on one bet on the river. A game where the flush three bets your check-raise is unknown to me.
Standard play on third is probably a fold, although I'm OK with a raise. the open limp short-handed is a real sign of weakness.
5th is tricky. Even if you think he is bluffing as often as 33% of the time, he still has a ton of outs to catch the flush. Its hard to imagine what he has other than a flush draw, so you have to figure he has hit. If you think he has the flush, chasing three outers on 6th is not usually a winning approach. It boils down to how often you think are good when you miss. If check-call, check-call will win the pot often enough, you can chase on 6th. In a normal game, it isn't and you can't. I really don't know enough about online $1/$2 to say if it is worth it here. |
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Holgininho
Joined: 01 Jan 2007 Posts: 468 Location: Essen
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Posted: Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:40 am Post subject: |
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| nsidestrate wrote: | In a 7 stud game populated by sane people, you can either get two bets on one bet on the river. A game where the flush three bets your check-raise is unknown to me.  |
I was surprised, too. Still, there wasn't a pair showing on my board, so I think the 3-bet was triggered by wishful thinking.
| Quote: | | 5th is tricky. Even if you think he is bluffing as often as 33% of the time, he still has a ton of outs to catch the flush. Its hard to imagine what he has other than a flush draw, so you have to figure he has hit. If you think he has the flush, chasing three outers on 6th is not usually a winning approach. It boils down to how often you think are good when you miss. If check-call, check-call will win the pot often enough, you can chase on 6th. In a normal game, it isn't and you can't. I really don't know enough about online $1/$2 to say if it is worth it here. |
The 1/2 games at the Cryptos are generally loose passive with more than 50 % of the players seeing 4th street and many of them chasing weak draws too far. Therefore I was quite confident I was still ahead on 5th street and didn't want to give a free card. I agree that I should have dumped it on 6th and I really don't have a good excuse for calling (I guess "I'm not used to count outs doesn't count).
I still like the check-raise on 7th. I was sure he would bet his flush again. But I couldn't expect a reasonable opponent to raise a bet into an open four flush, so I went for the check-raise to get two bets instead of one. |
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