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poker_Elmo 53o
Joined: 17 Jun 2004 Posts: 3191 Location: PA
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Posted: Tue Sep 15, 2009 8:39 pm Post subject: 200 PLO - KQJ9ds |
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Villain is multitabling PLO on stars - so I assume he is decent.
I can't fold, can I? So call or reraise?
PokerStars Pot-Limit Omaha, $2.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
UTG ($690.20)
Hero (MP) ($210.05)
CO ($276.90)
Button ($402.35)
SB ($457)
BB ($200)
Preflop: Hero is MP with , , ,
1 fold, Hero bets $7, 1 fold, Button raises to $22, 2 folds, Hero ???? |
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mchilger ITH Founder and Poker Author
Joined: 30 Jun 2003 Posts: 6615 Location: Atlanta, Georgia
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Posted: Wed Sep 16, 2009 4:35 am Post subject: |
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No way can you fold. My default play would be to call. However, if I know my opponent and knows that he 3-bets light - then a 4-bet is a consideration.
Matthew |
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poker_Elmo 53o
Joined: 17 Jun 2004 Posts: 3191 Location: PA
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Posted: Wed Sep 16, 2009 6:20 am Post subject: |
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When someone reraises, if a 1-tabler, I figure they have aces 65+% of the time. When a reg reraises, it can be other things, but it is often aces. So here I flop a monster - 9 straight outs with an additional 8 flush outs.
What is the best way to play this if we think he has aces?
What is the best way to play this if we think there is a strong chance he does not have aces?
What is the best play?
PokerStars Pot-Limit Omaha, $2.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
UTG ($690.20)
Hero (MP) ($210.05)
CO ($276.90)
Button ($402.35)
SB ($457)
BB ($200)
Preflop: Hero is MP with , , ,
1 fold, Hero bets $7, 1 fold, Button raises to $22, 2 folds, Hero calls $15
Flop: ($47) , , (2 players)
Hero ???? |
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felt fishing
Joined: 15 Dec 2009 Posts: 83
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Posted: Wed Sep 16, 2009 1:13 pm Post subject: |
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I would not fold here either. I would call. Your hand is just too strong to fold. The raise from the BTN says he has something (unless he is floating). Reraising would only create a bigger pot. He might 4-bet. While a good hand, the more I play, the more I feel that controlling the size of the pot is important before the flop because the flop better defines your hand. It is not like Holdem where AA preflop against one player is an 85% favorite to win.
In this case after seeing the flop, betting out half of the pot seems to me to be the best play. You are out of position and he can put a move on you by reraising which would leave you in a tought spot, but, not that much more than you are already in. You are drawing.... As Jeff said, Omaha is played 99% on the draw. Semi Bluffing here seems right. You want more information but you don't want the pot to get out of control unless you are willing to go allin.
Hope this helps,
Jim |
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WWJfergusonD
Joined: 31 Dec 1969 Posts: 37
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Posted: Wed Sep 16, 2009 5:54 pm Post subject: |
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Out of position I do not 4-bet this. If we do, we're either getting all-in pre-flop, or we're committed to just about every flop ever. I call the 3-bet, see the flop with SPR being 4 and going from there.
This could be an isolation play on his part. Without any more info, I would usually make AAxx a big part of his range here.
On this flop you're 50:50 with aces (provided he doesn't have one or both of your flush draws). He probably doesn't suspect you have them.
With no other information to go on (his c-bet tendencies, how strongly he would play a miss here)...if you've been checking into PFRs a lot, I would check intending to raise here. If you've been donking, I would donk hoping to 3-bet all-in. You have nailed this flop (though he may have as well). |
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Joseppi
Joined: 31 Dec 1969 Posts: 126
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Posted: Wed Sep 16, 2009 6:26 pm Post subject: |
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I don't know what i like here.
Check call keeps the pot small and doesn't leave you making a tough decision if the board pairs. But it's also VERY weak IMO
Check/raising makes a massive pot and makes you a ton of money if you hit and beat him.
I think i lead at this flop and i'm not scared to go broke with this hand on this flop. But i play PLO cause i want to gamble a little and make HUGE pots. |
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gollyheck
Joined: 31 Dec 1969 Posts: 14
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Posted: Thu Sep 17, 2009 2:42 am Post subject: |
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Call pre I guess.
Flop is tough. If he does have AA then he probably has the nut spade draw like at least half the time. ( has the As 2/3) In which case you aren''t in great shape.
If you lead you don't get folds from any better hands or much action from worse hands I wouldn't think. So check/call. |
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realmaniac
Joined: 31 Dec 1969 Posts: 4
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Posted: Thu Sep 17, 2009 5:11 am Post subject: |
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u even looked at his 3bet% rate preflop? i fwiw have about 9% so it means i 3bet alot in position and i dont care if i have aces or some other playable hands so i depends hard on that stat.
as played i check raise the flop and try to get it in |
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poker_Elmo 53o
Joined: 17 Jun 2004 Posts: 3191 Location: PA
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Posted: Thu Sep 17, 2009 6:57 am Post subject: |
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| realmaniac wrote: | u even looked at his 3bet% rate preflop? i fwiw have about 9% so it means i 3bet alot in position and i dont care if i have aces or some other playable hands so i depends hard on that stat.
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I haven't played too much with him. I don't yet have a PLO hud, so I wouldn't know exact stats anyway. (I need to get Omaha manager, I think.)
The next action - I certainly can't fold. So call or raise?
PokerStars Pot-Limit Omaha, $2.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
UTG ($690.20)
Hero (MP) ($210.05)
CO ($276.90)
Button ($402.35)
SB ($457)
BB ($200)
Preflop: Hero is MP with , , ,
1 fold, Hero bets $7, 1 fold, Button raises to $22, 2 folds, Hero calls $15
Flop: ($47) , , (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $38, Hero ????. |
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JLucPicard
Joined: 19 Dec 2009 Posts: 28
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Posted: Thu Sep 17, 2009 12:06 pm Post subject: |
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Two things i don't like:
1) You must play oop
and
2) You draw only to the second nut flush
If a spade comes on the turn - what do you do?
If you raise on the flop i believe you will win a small pot or lose a big one. |
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JUURGEN
Joined: 31 Dec 1969 Posts: 44
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Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2009 2:19 pm Post subject: |
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-- nothing too add, just a convulated rant, i'll save ya'll fromreading it.
i like a shove |
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antneye
Joined: 13 Jul 2009 Posts: 63
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Posted: Fri Sep 18, 2009 2:35 pm Post subject: |
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| I like bet/get it in. |
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WWJfergusonD
Joined: 31 Dec 1969 Posts: 37
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Posted: Mon Sep 21, 2009 5:55 pm Post subject: |
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| JLucPicard wrote: | Two things i don't like:
1) You must play oop |
Yeah, that isn't good. But we have a nice hand with many, many possibilities.
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2) You draw only to the second nut flush
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I'm way more comfortable with that vs. 1 opponent. If it was 2 or more, I'd be worried about this.
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If a spade comes on the turn - what do you do? |
If a spade comes on the turn that's an easy choice. We have already made our decision and committed to the hand by calling the flop. We have to decide on the flop if we think our flush would be good. Deciding on the turn would be too late.
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If you raise on the flop i believe you will win a small pot or lose a big one. |
This is a minor point, but at 40BBs this is no longer a small pot. That valuable axiom doesn't really apply here. |
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poker_Elmo 53o
Joined: 17 Jun 2004 Posts: 3191 Location: PA
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Posted: Mon Sep 21, 2009 9:09 pm Post subject: |
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Thanks for the comments - here is the rest.
The only other thing that went through my mind when deciding is that I also had a backdoor flush draw as well. I figure a backdoor FD is worth about 2 extra outs.
PokerStars Pot-Limit Omaha, $2.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
UTG ($690.20)
Hero (MP) ($210.05)
CO ($276.90)
Button ($402.35)
SB ($457)
BB ($200)
Preflop: Hero is MP with , , ,
1 fold, Hero bets $7, 1 fold, Button raises to $22, 2 folds, Hero calls $15
Flop: ($47) , , (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $38, Hero raises to $110, Button raises to $306, Hero calls $78.05 (All-In)
Turn: ($423.10) (2 players, 1 all-in)
River: ($423.10) (2 players, 1 all-in)
Total pot: $423.10 | Rake: $3
Results:
Button mucked , , , (three of a kind, Aces).
Hero had , , , (flush, King high).
Outcome: Hero won $420.10 |
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toom Spelling Bee Champ
Joined: 06 Apr 2005 Posts: 2780
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Posted: Tue Sep 22, 2009 7:37 pm Post subject: |
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Preflop: Against almost anyone, the 3bet is AAxx. KQJ9 double suited is a huge ace-cracker hand. I call every time. The only difference here is that Elmo noticed villain is multi-tabling, and has doubled up. That suggests he is at least decent and might be very good. That widens his range somewhat, but AAxx is still a huge part of it. For that very reason, I don't 4bet, giving him an opportunity to make this all-in preflop which he'd prefer. Rolf Slotboom has taught "us" to get at least 1/3 of our stack in preflop with aces, then a flop shove is almost always mathematically correct. If we call, villain only gets 10% of effective stacks in - we win this round. Further, I am better than villain (I may not be, but that's my thought process). I want to know 7/9ths of the cards so I can make the better decisions.
On the flop, there is no single hand that villain can have that I'm afraid of except for top set, a similar straight draw, and a better flush draw. I want the chips IN.
As played,
| Code: | http://twodimes.net/h/?z=6761109
pokenum -o ks qs jc 9c - as ad 3d 6h -- ac ts 9s
Omaha Hi: 820 enumerated boards containing Ts 9s Ac
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ks Qs Jc 9c 468 57.07 352 42.93 0 0.00 0.571
As Ad 3d 6h 352 42.93 468 57.07 0 0.00 0.429 |
In my example worst hand,
| Code: | http://twodimes.net/h/?z=6761145
pokenum -o ks qs jc 9c - as ad qc js -- ac ts 9s
Omaha Hi: 820 enumerated boards containing Ts 9s Ac
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ks Qs Jc 9c 117 14.27 587 71.59 116 14.15 0.213
As Js Qc Ad 587 71.59 117 14.27 116 14.15 0.787 |
I guess I shouldn't have shown that last one, because it's scary, but that's an absolute worst case. If he has that, nh.
I want all the chips in on this flop. The only thing I do differently is bet rather than check-raise. If he really does have AAxx, he'll raise for me, then my 3bet is all in. It probably doesn't matter though, as we'll get them in somehow.
Question: what would you do if the flop was ? |
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