Just saw PokerTracker stats... WOW....

[nyanks98]

Now, this is a very small sample size (245 hands), but the statistics are quite weird and maybe it will shed some light on why I'm sucking (Overall, -22 BB/100)



Incredibly, I have negative BB/100 from the Button through the next 4 spots, and Postive BB/100 for the rest of the table (the worse spots). I've called or raised from the Button 43% of the time, and I've won only 10% of my hands from there. 43% sounds pretty high, am I playing too loose from there? Overall I'm playing under 32% of the hands.

Of all the possible Ace hands and King hands, I'm only in the green for 4 of them (and 2 of them are BARELY over 0). I've also only won 12.5% of my showdowns with one pair, losing 67 dollars with them.

So what does this mean?
A. I'm playing too many hands in LP
B. I'm staying in with good starting hands too long
C. Both of these are true
D. The sample is too small to conclude anything

Your thoughts?

[fatshaft]

I would say all are correct, especially the small sample size.

The worrying thing you say is that of all the A&K hands stats. Does this mean you will always play any ace or any king?

If so this is a MASSIVE leak, and you need to address this pronto. You are overvaluing these hands massively.

[nyanks98]

[BernardDogs]

[quote="nyanks98"]

[marcstck]

I'd say you need to play much tighter. KTo is not really a playable hand in my book. If you're seeing over 30% of the flops, you're looking for trouble, unless you are very very good at playing post flop. I typically see flops 20-25% of the time, sometimes less.

Patience is the key here. Wait for a good hand, and hammer the opposition with it. If you feel the need to play "off" hands, wait until the blinds to do it.

Also, your sample size is indeed tiny. A few good nights and those stats could be totally reversed. Especially if you tighten up a bit...

[SteveGriff]

Yeah play tighter and get over 1500 hands and then check your stats again. And play your good hands aggressively (but don't overplay them!)

Griff Steve

[nyanks98]

Bernard,

I won't play Ax or Kx for a raise, but I will always complete from the small blind. I realize these hands are not good, and even if I hit the Ace or King on the flop I'm still wary.

Hands like KJ, KT and KQ are definitly a problem for me, particularly KQ. I seem to play that hand a lot when there's a smallish raise and often get beat by AQ or AK. I've had trouble figuring how to decide whether I'm up against a dominating hand or just some PP. It's particularly hard at these lower limits (I went down to $10 NL) because they'll raise with anything.

Drawing for cards hasn't appeared to be my problem. My HUGE problem is losing with one pair, I've lost something like $70. I guess I am overconfident when I have TP/TK, but I've lost some real big ones simply losing to inferior hands that get nice flops. I really haven't figured out when my TP/TK isn't good enough, other than particularly scary boards.

I haven't gotten Matthew's book yet...I hoped to get it for free when I signed up for shitty Pacific Poker, but somehow they're screwing me and say I didn't sign up properly to get the gift. They say I can also get it with Party or Empire, but I already have an account at Party so I'm not sure if I can do it

Overall I guess I need to tighten up more and get a better feel for when I'm beat.

[marcstck]

TPTK isn't much of a hand in NL, when faced with any aggression. If somebody raises you, chances are that they're saying they can beat TPTK. AK and AQ are always problem hands for me, because when I hit my pair on the flop, I feel like it's a bagged hand, when in fact all I have is TPTK, which can be beat by all sorts of stuff. I've started treating Big Slick and Big Chick as drawing hands, especially when they're suited...

[nyanks98]

My winning % with AKo was 16% after 8 hands! I hear a lot of people complaining that they get killed with AK. Maybe we should all be seeing it as a drawing hand (although drawing for a straight is tough with those cards is tough, too).

[justthedude]

AK is a drawing hand. It’s the starting hand that I see misplayed more than any other. In my opinion, if you don’t hit on the flop, you should almost always throw away the hand. My notes on players frequently includes how they play AK. You can make a lot of money off of those who cant seem to fold this hand.